Stormy Christmas

The supervised low pressure area (LPA) is expected to become a storm in the Pacific Ocean and expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) four days before Christmas.

Because of this, the weather in the east of Visayas and Mindanao is constantly monitored by the weather forecaster of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

According to PAGASA weather forecaster Chris Perez, such bad weather is expected to enter PAR’s this coming Friday, December 21.

It is possible that the upcoming storm will pass through the provinces that were greatly affected by the typhoon “Pablo” in the first part of the month, December.

If the expected storm enters the country’s territory, it will be called typhoon “Quinta”.

‘Quinta’ Last Typhoon of 2012

One storm left is expected to enter the country before the end of the year and is named Quinta, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa).

There are currently no perceive any low pressure area by Pagasa and if we are experiencing rain it is caused only from northeast monsoon rains.

Meanwhile, Typhoon Pablo allegedly dissolved where it was became a low pressure area only while leaving the country day before yesterday of four o’clock in the afternoon after land fall in Ilocos Norte, according to Buddy Javier, weather forecaster of PAG ASA.

Even though it left the country already, the three regions in the North such as Cagayan, Ilocos, and Cordillera will experience more rain and lowering sky.

While in Metro Manila, Visayas and Mindanao will also continue to experience fleeting rain caused by the breeze.

State of Calamity, Declared by P-Noy

President Benigno “Noy-noy” Aquino III declared National State of Calamity yesterday in areas severely affected by the typhoon “Pablo”.

Based on Proclamation 522 signed by the president, Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao are covered by National state of calamity due to the severe flooding and landslides storm resulted with the death of many victims.

With the declaration, hasten the relief and rehabilitation efforts of the government as well as helping the private sector.

P-Noy ordered the major agencies and departments of government to implement rehabilitation medical assistance and relief works and also instructed the local government units to use their calamity funds to help their constituents.

Social Weather Stations (SWS) – Self-rated poverty down

Manila, Philippines – The latest survey by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) Fewer Filipino families consider themselves “mahirap” (poor) and “food-poor” in the past three months.

The SWS poll, taken from May 24 to 27, presented that 51 percent of the respondents or about 10.3 million households rated themselves poor, down by four points from 55 percent or around 11.1 million families in March.

Meanwhile, the same survey found that 39 of Filipinos (about 7.9 million families) said they are food-poor, lower by six points from 45 percent (9.1 million) formerly.

Self-rated poverty and food poverty slightly improved in all areas but it also noted that families had continued to tighten their belts said by the SWS.

In the newspaper BusinessWorld yesterday the SWS poll result were issued.

Self-rated poverty was down by seven points to 65 percent in Mindanao. In Metro Manila it also dropped by five points to 41 percent, In Visayas  dropped by four points to 57 percent and by two points to 43 percent in balance Luzon.

A five-point drop in self-rated poverty to 61 percent in rural areas, while urban areas experienced a two-point drop to 42 percent recorded also by the survey research institution.

Self-rated food poverty dropped by 11 points to 53 percent in Mindanao said by SWS.

In balance Luzon and Metro Manila smaller developments were recorded, six points to 32 percent and five points to 25 percent, respectively. The score was hardly changed at 46 percent from 47 percent in the Visayas.

Self-rated poverty thresholds – the monthly budgets poor households need for home expenses in order not to consider themselves poor in general – remained sluggish despite higher inflation said SWS.

The median poverty threshold for poor households rose to P15, 000 in Metro Manila and P10,000 in the Visayas and Mindanao but dropped to P9,000 in balance Luzon compared to the previous quarter.

Median food-poverty thresholds, meanwhile, Metro Manila increased to P7, 000 and P5, 000 in Mindanao and the Visayas, but dropped to P4, 500 in balance Luzon.

SWS said the self-rated poverty and self-rated food poverty thresholds as of May 2012 have already been surpassed in the past for all areas.

Face-to-face interviews of 1,200 adults nationwide and has sampling error margins of plus or minus three percentage points for national and plus or minus six percentage points for area percentages  used by the SWS survey .

Storm Signal No. 2 Remain Under 10 Luzon Areas

Tropical storm “Dindo” (international name: Doksuri) maintains its strength as it moves towards north Luzon, state weather bureau PAGASA said on Thursday. Storm signal number 2 remains hoisted over 10 areas in northern Luzon.

In its latest weather bulletin issued on Thursday morning, Dindo 260 kilometers (kms) east of Aparri, Cagayan last spotted by PAGASA.

The storm continued its strength, packing winds of 75 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up 90 kph. It was moving west northwest at 19 kph.

Rainfall of 15 to 25 millimeter per hour (heavy to intense) within its 400 kms diameter  is estimated expected to dump.

Storm signal number 2 remains raised over the following areas:

•             Cagayan

•             Calayan Group of Islands

•             Babuyan Group of Islands

•             Isabela

•             Batanes Group of Islands

•             Apayao

•             Kalinga

•             Ilocos Norte

•             Abra

•             Mt. Province

Storm Signal 1 remains up in the following areas:

•             La Union

•             Ilocos Sur

•             Aurora

•             Ifugao

•             Nueva Vizcaya

•             Quirino

•             Benguet

PAGASA forecaster Gener Quitlong mainly advised residents of strong winds and flooding in Cagayan province, where the eye of the storm is predictable to hit between 12 p.m. and 2 p.m. today.

Calayan Group of Islands is the storm’s eye will also hit between 8 p.m. and 10 p.m.

Dindo will expect to be 190 kms north northwest of Aparri, Cagayan by Friday morning.

The storm enhances the southwest monsoon (habagat) rains are still expected over the rest of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao as PAGASA also issued a gale warning over the seaboards of central and southern Luzon; and western seaboard of Visayas.

Sea conditions were irregular in these areas said by the weather bureau.

The seaboards of central Luzon will experience scattered rains that may produce waves 3.4 to 5.0 meters high it said.

They will experience irregular to frequent rains that may produce waves 3.4 to 4.5 meters high to the seaboards of southern Luzon; and western seaboard of Visayas.

‘Butchoy’ Moves Closer To Phl

Tropical storm “Guchol” moved closer to the Philippines yesterday but state weather forecasters said it is not expected to directly hit any part of the country.

Guchol, which will be given the local name “Butchoy” once it enters Philippine territory, was unlikely to make landfall, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said yesterday.

However, PAGASA said Butchoy may enhance the southwest monsoon and bring rains over Luzon and Western Visayas until early next week.

PAGASA administrator Nathaniel Servando in a text message to The STAR said the storm was expected to enter the Philippine area of responsibility today or tomorrow.

As of 5 p.m. yesterday, the storm was spotted at 1,390 kilometers east of northern Mindanao, packing winds of 65 kilometers per hour near the center and gustiness of up to 80 kph. It was forecast to move west-northwest at 15 kph.

Meanwhile, PAGASA said the southwest monsoon and a shallow low pressure area off Mindanao will continue to bring rains over some parts of Luzon and Mindanao in the next few days.

The shallow low pressure area was located at 210 km east of Northern Mindanao as of 8 a.m. yesterday.

The weather bureau also reiterated its warning to fishing vessels and small sea craft in Luzon and Visayas not to venture out to sea due to strong winds.

It said strong to gale force wind is expected to affect the seaboards of Luzon and the western seaboard of Visayas.